miércoles, 30 de abril de 2014

NFLX Stock analysis and forecast. Last Price $319.87 04/30/2014

NFLX Stock analysis and forecast. Last Price $319.87 04/30/2014

Hi guys. Today I want to analyse NFLX, as you know this company provides subscription service streaming movies and TV episodes over the internet.
The consensus average target price is $409.40
The company has a P/E= 116.32 and a EPS= 2.75
Let´s see the technicals.
Supports and resistances:
S1: 308.76 S2: 269 R1:368 R2:411
As you can see in the Chart the MACD is below the signal and below zero. The RSI is at 37% in a flat pattern, and the stochastic is going to enter into the oversold zone. 
The DMI shows us that there are more downside movements than upside -40.59 vs 18.20
Elliot waves.
The curve is starting the flat pattern abc (downtrend serie, so it´s probably will bounce in the next sesions.
The price is below the AVG 200 =337.29 and below the 50AVG too.
The buy interval for this stock is [295;317.38] the price arrived in the last sesions.However if the stock will go lower I will extend the buy range to $275 for the lower price 
I marked a hammer in the chart, (a reversal pattern).
The targets for this stock are:

TG1:$341
Tg2:$367
TGExt:$410
Let´s see some fundamentals notes:
Sales growth average last 4 years: 27.87%
Last year 2013: 21.20%
EPS growth average last 4 years:133.73%
Last year 2013: 537.93%
The long-Term Debt was increased from 230.6M in 2012 to 529.5M in 2013.
Here it´s the Chart:

If you buy this stock I recomend to follow closely the behavior of the price and look for small targets in the short-term.
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martes, 29 de abril de 2014

Biogen IDEC BIIB Last Price $283,12 04/28/2014 Stock Analysis and Forecast

Biogen IDEC BIIB Last Price $283,12  04/28/2014.
Hi everybody,
Today I want to analyze Biogen Idec.
The consensus average target price is $350. The company has a P/E= 34.95 and a EPS= 8.10
Let´s see the technicals.
Supports and Resistances:
S1: 287.53 S2: 245.75 R1: 310 R2:339
As you can see in the Chart the price is inside an uptrend channel.
Yesterday the price drew a doji, so it´s pribably the stock bounce to the R1: $310. You can see a double ground too, Just in the bottom of the channel close to the AVG200.
Elliot Waves:
I marked the downtrend serie on the Chart. In my opinion actually the price is going to develope the wave III.(or the wave II in a new downtrend serie. In both cases the price will go up)
The MACD is very close to the signal and below zero.
The RSI is at 41%.
The stochastic is near to the oversold zone and it´s probably will bounce soon.
The +DI is below the -DI.
I recomend to buy this stock. It´s a good company with a good P/E and a solid EPS. The average sales growth in the last 4 years is 12.51%.
The Pipeline:
Nowadays Biogen idec has 2 products waiting to be approved (Eloctate- Hemophilia A,  and Plegridy).
6 Products in phase 3.
6 Products in Phase 2.
3 Products in Phase 1.
In my opinion this company has a high potential to increase their results in the short and medium term.
I recomend to buy this stock for the long term.
let´s see the targets:
TG1:$305
TG2:$312
TG ext:$335
If you want you can see the previous analysis and compare the behavior of the price.
And the chart:

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sábado, 26 de abril de 2014

WEEKLY FORECAST 04/28/2014 TO 05/02/2014

WEEKLY FORECAST 04/28/2014 TO 05/02/2014

Hi buddies, This is the NASDAQ analysis for the next week. As you know we have the Ukranian Crisis above the markets. Last Friday the European and Unated States markets corrected. What can I say? I don´t know if the next week  the situation will be better. However I know that the war isn´t good nor the implied people nor the markets. In my opinion the people should focus in solve the problems rather than be angry each other. The first way is difficult but the second way will make more difficult to solve the conflict.
Let´s take a look on the COMPOSITE:
Actually the index is at 4.076
Supports and resistances:
S1: 4050 S2: 3924.55 R1: 4.175 R2: 4305
The MACD made a sudden change of direction last Friday. The Stochastic is in a downtrend at 49.34% and the RSI at 43%.
In my opinion it´s probably the NASDAQ will go to the S1=4.050
but not to stay there for a long time. I expect a bounce above the 4.189 points. The worst case would be a triple ground at 3.962 (Green line in the Chart).
About the stocks, I´m quite optimist with QIHU. Last week BIDU published the 1Q results (good results).
I hope the great nations will solve soon the Ukraine conflict ( and the Ukranian people too!!)in order to avoid the mistakes that other countries made in the past. In my opinion there´s nothing you can´t solve all you need is to want to solve.
I like to recall the words of John Lennon "Give peace a Chance!"
And that´s all!
Here it is the Chart.
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viernes, 25 de abril de 2014

Qihoo 360 Technology Co. Ltd. QIHU Last Price 92.26$ 04/25/2014

Qihoo 360 Technology Co. Ltd. QIHU  Last Price 92.26$  04/25/2014

Hi Everybody, This week I was to busy so I have worked less in the blog than the last weeks, However I was following the market, every day.
This week APPL has published it´s 1Q results ( a good results). AMZN, SBUX too (not as well as APPL). Some Analyst are starting to think that there´s no bubble in tech.
The company I´m going to analyze today is a tech company which provides internet and mobile security products.
The Company has a P/E= 110.48 And EPS= 0.84
QIHU has a very impressive sales growth during the last 4 years. Let´s see the data:
In 2013 the sales growth  was increased in 104.21% And the 4 years average is 117.45%
The EPS in 2013 was increased a 108.24% and the 4 years average is 157,52%. In my opinion this company is undervalued.
the P/E of this company is relativetily low compared with for example LNKD (P/E= 714,96). And it´s probably the stock price will go up soon. The consensus average target price is 140.86$. While I´m writting this words the stock is at $93.92 (Before the Bell)
Let´s see the technicals:
Supports and Resistances:
S1: 86 S2: 80.54 R1: 101.32 R2: 113.08
The MACD is below zero and above the signal with an uptrend.
The RSI is at 45% figthing to cross the 50% level.
The Stochastic is at 66%. I have to say that the last wave of the movement was a good large wave. And nowadays the curve is going to bounce again to the top. If you see the week Chart the stochastic is leaving the oversold zone.
The AVG8/AVG14 are overlaped and they are crossing upwards.
As you can see in the Chart the stock broke the downtrend on April the17th.
The buy interval: It´s difficult establish a valid buy interval at this price level, however I recommend to buy before the stock go to the top. 
I can establish the targets and once there I will define the buy range:
TG1:$111.08
TG2:$128.76
Tg Ext:$157.34
I will make another analysis when the stock arrive to the first target.
Let´s see the Chart:

I hope this analyisis will be profitable to you. Remember to click in the ads in order to maintain this blog, thank you! :)

martes, 22 de abril de 2014

Stock Analysis Perrigo PRGO 04/22/2014 Last price 145.15$

Stock Analysis Perrigo  PRGO 04/22/2014 Last price  145.15$ 

Hi Everybody, This company is a global healthcare supplier. The consensus average target price is 175.72.
P/E= 52.59
EPS= 2.76
Recently I read that Jefferies Group Accords a $180 Target.

Let´s see the technicals:
Supports and Resistances:
S1: 136.30 S2: 130.76 R1:152.35 R2:164.26
The MACD is below zero and close to the signal.
The RSI is at 41% and crossed the 50% 03/20/2014.
It´s probably that the price will go up. The price entered into the buy range (as you can see in the chart)
Buy Range [135.82;144.07]
The stochastic will enter soon into the overbought range so I recommend to wait until the price go lower to take positions. However, as I said the price entered into the buy range during the last week. We can not forget that the price is the actually drawing a downstream channel.
Let´s see the targets:
TG1: 152.02$
TG2: 161.02$
TGext. 175.57$
The Chart:

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STOCK ANALYSIS AXL American Axle & Manufacturing 04/22/2013 last price 18,10$

STOCK ANALYSIS AXL American Axle & Manufacturing  04/22/2013.

Hi guys, how you doing?
I had a great weekend... But it´s time to do another analysis.
Today I want to analyze AXL a company which operates as a supplier to the automotive industry. The consensus average target price is 21.90$.
Let´s see the technicals:
Supports and Resistances:

S1: 15.99 S2: 17.29 R1: 18.88 R2: 19.92
The RSI is at 46% and crossed the 50% the 04/04/2014.
The MACD is very close to the signal and it´s probably today will cross the signal.
The Stochstic is going up at 55%. In my opinion it will change the direction in a short-term.
The DMI: +DI is below the -DI.
The AVG 200 is at 18.46 and the price is moving below the bollinger avg but very close. As you can see in the chart the price is inside a wedge.
The buy interval is [16.85$;17.76$]. I expect for  little correction so beware to open large positions.
(Please remember, if you like this blog  click on the ads in order to maintain the blog or donate, thanks!:))
Remember to analyse the technicals before opening positions.

Once there we should look for this targets:
TG1: 17.87$
TG2: 18.42$
TgExt: 19.29$
I leave you the Chart. Have a nice Day!!:)

miércoles, 16 de abril de 2014

Demandware Inc. DWRE Stock Analysis 04/16/2014 Last price: 51.80$

Demandware Inc. Stock Analysis 04/16/2014 Last price: 51.80$

Hi everybody, first of all I would like to insist that if you like the blog, please click on the ads to help me keep it going.I use a lot of time looking for opportunities and analyzing actions, which I share with you, so please click on the ads. Thank you.
Let´s see the technicals:
S1: 46.17 S2: 36.97$ R1: 56.84 R2: 67.91
THe macd is below zero and close to the signal. the stock has a large long downtrend since the Macd crossed the signal on March the 10th.
The momentum is below zero and it looks to me that it´s probably that will go lower.
The RSI is at 32% in a flat pattern.
The stochastic is at 20% stuck in the oversold levels.
Elliot waves: The curve is finishing the flat pattern inside a downtrend secuence. So it´s probably the stock will go up a little in the next session.
During the last 3 sessions I can identify a doji then a bearish engulfing pattern and yesterday the curve drew a hammer.
Fundamentals:
The company has a good sales growth in the past 4 years. However the EPS is negative in the last 5 years! (in 2013 the EPS decreased a -76.03%).
EPS= -0.69
Buy interval: It´s dificult to determine the purchase range of this stock. It´s probably the stock will go up a little( Elliot waves) however in my opinion if the stock will not break the 56.84 resistance in the nexts sessions it´s probably that the stock will test the 46.17$ resistance. Our buy interval could be [47.12;47.26] but you better beware, the stock could break the support. Pay attention in the volume!
Targets:
TG1:58.2$
TG2:61.88$
I leave you the Chart:




martes, 15 de abril de 2014

04/15/2014 Trading Ide AXP American Express Co. Last Price 85.50$

04/15/2014 Trading Ide AXP American Express Co. Last Price 85.50$


Hi, Let´s analyze AXP.

Supports and Resistances:
S1: 81.53 S2: 74.48 R1: 89.03  R2:92.71$
The average target price by consensus is: 94.71$.

I have looked at the fundamental and I can tell you that the company has a constant steady gorwth during the last years. In the 2013 AXP increased the free cash flow a 27.44% however in 2012 decreased a -39.07%.
The RSI is at 38%.

The stochastic is exiting from the oversold zone and is at 35%.
However the -DI is above the +DI.
The MACD is in a flat pattern below the signal and below zero.
Last Friday the stock drawn a doji  in the chart and  entered in the purchase interval [82.28; 85.47].
The targets:
TG1: 91.19$
TG2: 92.71$
TgExt: 95.66
I recommend you to pay attention in the movement of the stock ,actually is close to the 200 SMA.
Let´s see the Chart:


By the way, do you remmember the MSFT trading idea! there´s a doji from yesterday´s session just inside the buy interval!:

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Have a nice day! 
You can see the first analysis 04/01/2014 ( it´s in Spanish but you can use the translator)


04/15/2014 Trading Idea and forecast Bristol-Myers Squibb Co. BMY Last Price: 47.96$

04/15/2014  Trading Idea and forecast Bristol-Myers Squibb Co. BMY  Last Price: 47.96$

HI, Everybody. Today I want to analyse a pharmaceutical stock. As you know this sector and biothec are slowly deflating (well slowly...) Last week we saw how GILD went down like a stone. In my opinion the investors are a little scared with their investments in this sectors. So it´s probably  that in the short-term  we will see large swings in this stocks. They are very attentive to developments in research rather than the fundamentals of this companies.
Anyway, let´s see the techicals:
Supports and resistances:
S1: 46.76 S2: 44.43 R1: 51.92 R2: 54.47
The average target price of the analyst are:55.12$
P/E= 30.74 and EPS= 1.56
If we take a look on the fundamentals:
In 2013 the company decrease their growth sales in -7.01% and in 2012  other -17.05% the average of the last 4 years is -2.86% (Wow).
In 2013 The increase of EPS(diluted) was a 32.76% and the average of the last 4 years is +2.8%. It sounds to me like a roller coaster in the fundamentals. The free cashflow decreased a -82.98% in 2013. Anyway this companies can rebound with the results of their research.
Actually, the curve is below the 200 AVG and close to he S1: 46.76 And broke the uptrend on April the 7th.
The MACD is below the signal and below 0.
The RSI is at 31% and the stochastic barred on the oversold zone.
About Elliot waves: The stock is going to start the 4 wave ( in a downtrend) so it´s probably the stock will raise a little in the next sessions. However in my opinion the curve is forming a downtrend channel with the last relative low.
I recommend to wait it´s probably the stock will go more down.
Let´s see the buy interval: 
[43.86$;47.21] the middle point is 45.53$. The fundamentals and the technicals tell me to not buy until the price arrives to 45.53$ or lower. Then I´ll take a look into the pipeline of the company.
Once there, let´s see the targets:
TG1: 51.72$
TG2: 53.43$
TGext: 55.45$
Anyway stay alert with the news of the company. And please remember to click in some ads before you leave the blog in order to maintain this blog, thanks!
There´s the Chart:






lunes, 14 de abril de 2014

04/14/2014 Boeing Co. BA Trading idea and forecast. Last price. 122.07$

04/14/2014 Boeing Co. BA Trading idea and forecast. Last price. 122.07$
Hi, Firstly I want to analyse some fundamentals of this company:
The company is rolling with a P/E= 20.23$ and a EPS= 6.03, last dividend 0.73. In my opinion those are good data.
If we take a look into the Income Statement we can see a sales growth of 6.03% in 2013. The average of the last 4 years was 6.49% however the sales growth in 2010 was -5.86% and in 2012 was 18.86%. Benjamin Graham probably would have thought that this is not a company with a regular growth.
The diluted EPS growth in 2013 was +16.63% and the average of the last 4 years was 42.53%. The lower figure was 4.45 in 2010 which suppose an increase of +137.72 form the 1.47 in 2009 (the 1.47 EPS is not covered by the average).
In 2013 the company was rolling with a Net Operating cash flow of 8.18B a 8.94% above the previous year. Those facts make me thing That is a consolidated company . Although without a regular growth but with solid profits.
Let´s see the technicals.
Supports and Resistances:
S1: 117.10$ S2: 106.10$ R1: 128.58 R2: 140.19$

The price is inside a box since january and it should be a consolidation of a good support in the future.
Nowadays is close to the AVG200 (121,053$) and is in the box floor. So I recommend to buy the stock at this level.
The RSI is at 41% and the MACD is in a flat pattern below zero and below it´s signal, however as I said is very close tho the signal since February.
The stochastic is in the oversold zone and it´s probably will go up this week.
The buy range or interval at this moment is [117.96;121.12] however the fact that the price is inside a box and the technicals tells me that is not probably that the price will go to the lower price of the interval. Anyway, pay attention to the market this week, tha last week was terrible and this week should raise ( otherwise we would have to rethink the situation)
Let´s see the targets:

TG1:127.05$
TG2: 131.72$
TG ext: 139.27$
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Ok,having said this let´s see the chart:

I hope you find it a profitable idea! 


04/14/2014 Dupont Fabros Tech DFT WEEK CHART NOTES. Last price: 23.78$

04/14/2014 Dupont Fabros Tech DFT WEEK CHART. Last price: 23.78$

Hi, Today I want to analyse DFT, as you know i analysed this securitie last week, however now i want to show you the chart weekly, I think there´s the key to decide to invest.
Let´s see the technicals:
The RSI is at 46%. and in the last two weeks tried to jump above the 50%.
The MACD is close to zero below the signal.
The +DI is below the -DI, however is very close and it´s probably that it will intersect in the short-term.
YOu can see the Stochastic on the point to cross the %K. It´s probably that the stochastic will begin a long up movement.

In the weekly chart you can see the behavior of the price clearly. It´s just inside a box. And with this momentum technicals it´s probably the stock will bounce to the top of the box 25.88$.
The fundamentals and the new upgrades of the stock, (you better see the last analysis)it´s probably the stock will roll above this price in the next month.
This company has increased the dividend to 0.32%. And this is the forecast growth for the Q1 and Q2.




And this is the weekly Chart. You can see a bullish engulfing pattern and a bullish divergence( Stochastic). Those facts make me thing the stock will rally soon ( if the rest of the market permits!!). The question is, What are the HDF and the institutions waiting for? the Q1 results. It´s probably they are analyzing the company in order to determine if Citigroup is right. By the way, please remmenber to click in some advertisements in order to maintain this blog, Thank you!.



domingo, 13 de abril de 2014

WEEKLY FORECAST SECURITIES SELECTION FROM 14 TO 17 APRIL.

WEEKLY FORECAST SECURITIES SELECTION FROM 14 TO 17 APRIL.


Hi, everybody, how is going on the weekend?
I have analysed this stocks and here it is my forecast for the next week. I have to insist that is my point of view, so if you want to invest or sell this stocks use your own analysis and compare it with my forecast ( I´m human, It´s normal to make mistakes).


Those are the horses and the crabs for this week.





I want to show you more details of those analysis during the next week. I hope this forecast will be useful for you!. Please remmember,  you can help me to maintain this blog you can send a donation by PayPal, or just click on the advertisements as much as you can, thank you!, And Enjoy the rest of the weekend!.

Some music to give color to the blog. A song I like with the guitar, I hope you like it.
I haven't played guitar for a long time, so excuse my mistakes. Anyway if you like it i will post a new video every week.

And a little improvisation.

If you like I will post more videos playing guitar every week!!


sábado, 12 de abril de 2014

04/12/2014 WEEKLY FORECAST FROM 14 TO 17 APRIL

04/12/2014 WEEKLY FORECAST FROM 14 TO 17 APRIL
Hi, Last week the US markets had an overreaction from my point of view.
Let´s review the last macroeconomical data from Friday:

- Producer Price Index: 0.5% better than expected (0.1%).
- Michigan consumer sentiment index: 82.6 better than expected (81).
- Producer Pirce index (YoY): 1.4%, better than expected (1.1%).
Even the Jobs data were better than expected. What happened last week?.
Actually the Nasdaq index is at 4.000 points. Let´s see the technicals:
Supports and Resistances:
S1: 3.970 S2: 3.809 R1: 4.155.21 R2: 4.301.87
The RSI is at 34%.
The stochastic is oversold and the MACD is below zero and below the signal.
Those facts make me think that the nasdaq is oversold (could be normal, a lot of people think that some biotech and technology stocks like NFLX, LNKD, TWTR were reheated, But How about the DOW and the NYSE index? . It´s probably the rumors of correction made the inverstors leave scared from NASDAQ stocks and then investors from NYSE and DOW were also frightened, Remember that the down movement began with the nasdaq.
Anyway, with a better macroeconomical from this week and the new good data (I hope) for the next week.It´s porbably a good bounce for the next week.
From my point of view it´s probably that the nasdaq will go up above the 4.229 points in the next two weeks, however I will revise the analysis the next week. Now it´s very close to the 38.2 Fibonacci Retracement and technicaly it will bounce.
There´s a double ground too very close to the resistance. So it´s probably the index will bounce.
I leave you the Chart.


As you can see in the graph the uptrend is broken, however there´s a support close that will create a double ground.
I want to make a securities forecast selection for this week, however it´s a lot of work (analyse 10 stocks) so It´s problably this week I select only 5 or 6 stocks.
I will publish the securities selection as soon as I finish.
( Please, help me to mantain this blog, you can donate or just click on the advertisements, tahnk you!)
Enjoy the weekend!




04/12/2014 WEEKLY FORECAST FORM 14 TO 18 APRIL WEEK REVIEW

04/12/2014 WEEKLY FORECAST FORM 14 TO 18 APRIL WEEK REVIEW.
Hello Everybody,
As I mentioned here it is, the week results forecast.



At the end of the week the stocks up failed but the stocks down worked well. In my opinion it´s normal, the NASdaq and DOW closed Friday near 16.000 for the DOW and just 4.000 for NASDAQ.
Anyway the final result is a 6,1% this week.
In the first review of this forecast (Wednesday the 9th) I recomended to use the stops in order to ensure a profit at the end of the week.
Wednesday revision.

If you have followed the Wednesday recomendation I´m sure  you would have obtained a much better profit than 6.1%.

I hope that my analysis will be profitable to you.

I´ll try to make a securities selection for this week if I have the time! (if you want you can make a donation to keep this blog.)


Have a nice weekend!

Note: Sorry for the mistake the forecast is for a week from 14-18 April not 14-28.( I said weekly but I wrote 28 in the spreadsheet.

viernes, 11 de abril de 2014

04/10/2014 DuPont Fabros Tech Trading Idea. Last Price. 24.16$

04/10/2014 DuPont Fabros Tech  Trading Idea. Last Price. 24.16$

Dupont Fabros Tech is a real estate investment trust. I recommended to buy this stock at the begining of the week. its in my stock's watchlist for this week. on April the 7th arrived to to $ 24.96. 
Let's analyze the stock and study the optimal entry points.

Technicals:
Supports and Resistances:
S1: 23.97$ S2: 22.40$ R1: 25.97$ R2: 27.38$
The Macd is below zero and above the signal.
The stochastic is going down from 77%,Actyally is at 68%.
The RSI is at 48% in a flat pattern under 50%. I expected greater rise during the week. Today Citigroup has raised its Price target to 78$, However the  consensus average target Price is 28.25$. The new rate will raise the consensus above 40$.
I don´t how this news will impact in the price today.

if you look at the Income statement you can see that the company increased its sales a 12.83% and the average of the last 4 years was 17.25%. It appears to me  that the company has a strong growth. P/E= 75,50 and EPS= 0.32. Dividend yield= 5.79%

Anyway.
The actuar buy interval I recommend is:
[23.70$;24.95$], (however you must  stay alert with the impact of Citigroup rate)
The targets:
TG1: 25.44$
Tg2: 26.29$
Tg Ext: 27.64$
And here its the Chart:

I recommend to buy today, as I recommended at the begining of the week.It´s probably the stock will rally soon with the Citi new target.

I hope you find it a profitable idea!!

04/10/2014 Trading Idea General Electric GE Stock Analysis. Last Price. 25.58$

04/10/2014  Trading Idea General Electric GE Stock Analysis. Last Price. 25.58$.
General Electric was founded by Thomas Edison, a famous inventor in 1890. I personally prefer Nicola Tesla as a genius inventor but he had a sad history. At the end of his days he ended absolutely broke,having contributed to mankind with things as important as the wireless.
Anyway, let´s see the technicals:

Supports and resistances:
S1: 64.25 S2: 62.33 R1: 67.19 R2: 68.50
As you can see in the Chart, the curve made a break out on march the 31th. and showed us that it´s running in a uptrend channel, and inside a box.
The MACD is above zero in a flat pattern.
the RSI in 53% it corssed the 50% on March the 28th.
The MACD is going down fron 90% and actually is at 44%.
The stochastic is starting a flat pattern so it´s probably the stock will bounce in a short-time.
The buy interval is very close to the actual price:
[64.38;64.79]
Once we open the position in this interval the targets will be:
TG1:67.48$
Tg2: 69.18$
Tg Ext: 71.91$
At TG1 level I recommend to revise the analysis in order to decide to hold or sell the stock.
Since the end of the summer I´m listening a lot of people saying things about a market correction Even Robert J. Shiller said things about it. And I think its probably true, stocks like LNKD which were negociated at 250$ now is below 170$. Is this correction loosing steam or not!, Who knows. In my opinion at this scenario an alternative might be to invest in strong companies like Ford Motors (F) ( Recently an study said a considerable increase in car sales in USA, and yesterday annonunced a dividend) or General Electric (GE).
Let´s see the Chart.

This blog is absolutely free but I´m working many hours to make the analysis,and trading ideas. If you like this site please donate ( on the right of the sceen above me, the penguin!!) 
Nothing more! Have a nice weekend!


jueves, 10 de abril de 2014

04/09/2014 Trading Idea Ford F Last Price: 15.84$

04/09/2014 Trading Idea Ford F Last Price: 15.84$.
As I said in the last Analysis( it´s in spanish but you can translate it!). In the last sessions the stock is going to enter in our buy interval I said.
In this review I have recalculated the buy interval.
The result is [$15.22;$15.70] and it´s very close to the actual price.
Let´s see the technicals:
Supports and Resistances( Short-term):
S1: $15.59 S2: $15.14 R1:$16.45 R2:$17
The curve made a break-out in march the 28.
The MACD is possitive and very close to the signal.
The RSI is at 54% and it looks flat.
The Stochastic is at 53% and going down. So it´s probably an small correction in the next sessions.
The +DI is above the -DI but very close to a new cross.
The original interval that I determined was [$14.84;$15.83], So I recommend to consider both intervals in order to take large positions.
The targets are the same I said in the last Analysis:
TG1:$16.59
TG2:$17.18       I HAVE RECALCULATED THE TARGETS!
TGExt:$18.12
I recommend to wait until the price enter into the buy interval, once there stay alert with the technicals.
Enjoy the Day!
I leave you both charts analysis for compare.

 1 Analysis Chart 04/01/2014
Last Chart 04/09/2014

I recommend to buy. It´s probably the stock will bounce!.


04/09/2014 GILD Gilead Sciences Inc Trading idea. Last Price. 70.65$

04/09/2014 GILD Gilead Sciences Inc Trading idea. Last Price. 70.65$
This is biopharmaceutical company. Few weeks ago the investos thought in a bubble in the sector. So many stocks as BIIB fell. In my opinion it´s important the support of the investors in research companies, in order to to improve the quality of life of people suffering from diseases.
Biogen idec bounced yesterday and closed above 300$.
Let´s see some fundamentals:
GILD is rolling with a P/E= 14.85 and with a EPS= 2.01
In 2013 the Sales grew a 16.72%.The average of the last 4 years was 12.75%. In my opinion the growth of this company sounds brilliant. The EPS in 2013 was 1.81 and the average (5 years) was 1.66.
The analyst consensus average target for this year is 98.99$ (+39.95%).
Let´s see the technicals.
Supports and resistances:
S1: 68.37 S2: 62.43 R1: 73.94  R2:79.50 
The MACD is in a flat pattern with the signal below zero.
The stochastic is at 35% going down, it will be soon oversold.
The RSI is at 38% and is below 50% since march the 6.
The momentum is going up.
The -DM is at 31.99 and +DI is at 13.93 in a flat pattern.
If we talk about the Elliot waves we can see the curve is going to finish a bearish serie ( I have marked the waves on the chart).
The buy interval [66.92$;70.14$] however, as you can see on the graph the curve arived to 67.63 on march the 28.
It would be interesting to follow this stock today!.
Note: MERK (competitor) has developed a good treatment for hepatitis C and will affect the stock
Let´s see our actual targets:
TG1: 73.94$
TG2: 76.83$
TG Ext: 81.50$
Here I leave the Chart! I hope you find this analysis interesting!

Now the stock is below the buy interval. I think is oversold but I recomend to wait until the price stabilizes.
It´s going down like a stone -7.06%!.

miércoles, 9 de abril de 2014

04/09/2014 Trading Idea AAPL Apple Computer Inc. Last price: 523.44$

04/09/2014 Trading Idea AAPL Apple Computer Inc. 523.44$ 

Hi again. I´m going to analyse Apple Computers.
Let´s see the technicals:
Supports and reistances:
S1: 519 S2: 495 R1: 534  R2: 546
The average consensus target price is 590$.
As we can see in the graph, yesterday the curve drew a nice hammer, so it´s probably today the price will go up.
Nevertheless i have to continue the analysis.

The stock broke the downtrend line in 03/24/2014 with a gap however in April the curve has become to the downtrend line.
The Elliot waves in a short-term basis tell us that the curve is finishing the III wave (downtrend series,I have marked the waves on the graph.) It´s probably the will go up as i said but not much.
The RSI is at 41%(flat movement) and the stochastic is at 23% going down (K=29%).
The MACD is flat under zero with a very tight movement.
I recommend to wait until the stock drops a bit.
This is the buy interval I recommend:
 Buy Interval[499.18$;514$].
During the last session the day low was 518$.
Once we buy at those prices our target will be:
TG1: 525$
TG2: 532$
TG ext: 544$
Let´s see the graph:




WEEKLY FORECAST SELECTION SECURITIES FROM 14-28 April. REVIEW

WEEKLY FORECAST SELECTION SECURITIES FROM 14-28 April. REVIEW.

These are the results of the securities selection i made I made the April 5. Let´s see the results:








Wow, more than 10% in two sessions!.  It would be amazing to have these results in all my future predictions.
As you can see I failed in Electronic Arts and PCAR forecast however on Monday EA´s price closed at 28.30$ and PCAR closed at 64.87$.

At this point I recommend to review the technicals of those securities in order to decide to hold or close positions.

With a lead of 10.76% my recommendation is to use mobile stops and ensure a minimum profit at the end of the week.

I will review this forecast this Friday to analyse the results.

I hope you are taking profit of my analyis!
Have a nice day.
:)

martes, 8 de abril de 2014

04/08/2014 EBAY Forecast. Last Price: 52.95$

04/08/2014 EBAY Forecast. Last Price: 52.95$.
Hi Everybody, What´s going on with this stock, yesterday EBAY fall another -1.94%. The street rate as a Buy even better rate than AAPL. It´s probably the big shareholders are pressing the stock in order to get a decision in Pay-Pal, however in my opinion they have to stop because If  potential investors are scared they will invest in other stocks with less potential for growth than EBAY and the stock will go down, with its earnings.Or maybe it´s the stock beta (about 0,96, If I remember correctly). Remmember the nasdaq is correcting (I think the correction will finish today, so it´s time to buy)
Let´s analyse the techicals.
Supports and Resistances:
S1: 52,32$ S2: 53$ R1: 54.77  R2: 56.37
I think the S1 is a strong support.

The MACD is under zero and below the signal.
The RSI is at 30% level. 
The stochastic show us that the price is oversold.
Bollinger bands: the price is in contact with the bollinger down.
Elliot waves: In the short-term the stock is finishing the V wave and it´s going to start the falt pattern.
In middle-term the price broke the 2-4 Elliot wave in the latests 3 sessions (I hope this is for it´s correlation with the Nasdaq!)
I had recalculated again the buy interval!
Buy Interval [52.19; 59.90], however the correction should ended at 57.27$. (To be honest I can´t define a valid interval with this price behavior!!). I´m hoping a bounce in the short-term. and the targets:
TG1: 54.87$
TG2: 57.12$
TGExt: 58.40$
I show you the graph.

I hope you find it useful!

08/04/2014 Trading idea Cisco Systems Inc. CSCO Last price: 22.85$

 08/04/2014 Trading idea Cisco Systems Inc. Last price: 22.85$.

Ok, the Nasdaq corrected in the last session , sotcks with good potential like EBAY went down. Anyway I will analyze the value later if I have time.
Let´s see CSCO.
Supports and resistances:
S1: 22.02 S2: 20.98  R1: 24.08 R2: 25.79
The MACD is above zero, above the signal.
The RSI is in 61% with upside potential.
However the stochastic is leaving the 79% level  and is going down.
The price is leaving the Bolinger Up and moving to the AVG.
CISCO is rolling with a P/E= 14.93 EPS= 1.53 and distributed a dividend of 3.33% 04/01/2014.
As we can see in the graph the 2-4 Elliot wave was broken in February and nowadays is moving in a box and wants a break-out.
Buy Interval [21.84;22.09].
I think the stock has a good upside potential however I recommend to wait until the price correct (until the price enter into the buy interval), but considering the upside potential I recommend to study the technicals again when the price  will arrive to 22.33$ from my point of view this could be a valid price to buy.
Our targets:
TG1: 23.37$
TG2: 24.17$
TG ext: 25.45$


I hope you find it useful!

lunes, 7 de abril de 2014

04/07/2014 MSFT Microsoft FORECAST and REVIEW last price: $39.87

04/07/2014 MSFT Microsoft FORECAST last price: $39.87

Well, you can see my last analysis ( the original text is in Spanish but you can use the translator. Most of my readers are form USA so I will writte the next analysis in English.) I made about Microsoft, as I predict the value is going down to our buy interval [$38.50;$39.30].
Let´s see the current technicals:
Supports and Resistances:
S1: 37.97$ S2: 36.60$ R1: 42   R2: 43.52
In my opinion the curve is going to begin the Elliot flat pattern. So it´s probably the price will go down a little more. Indeed, the buy interval is valid today. the middle point in this interval is: $38.90 and I recommend to buy at this price or perhaps lower than this price. There is the possibility that the price reaches the 50 AVG (big green line): $ 38.61 which is iside the buy interval too.
Let´s see the technicals:
MACD: recently cut the signal in a downward pattern. So could be better to wait until the price consolidates.
The RSI is at 54% and the stochastic is going to a rebound area.
The DMI shows flat pattern too.
Bollinger Bands: the price  relies on the midline of the bollinger bands, so could be interesting to follow today´s session.
If we buy in this price range our targets will be:

TG1:$41.62
TG2:$43.52
When we reach the fist target i recommend to make another analysis to take the decision of maintain or sell the stock.
Don´t forget that the analyst average target price is $40.19 (Well, they can fail too  as I can!.
Ok here are the graphs the fist is the analysis graph of 04/01/2014 and then is the actual graph:

 1.    04/01/2014 Analysis Graph.

2.   04/07/2014 Analysis Graph.

That´s all at this moment. I will hope this analysis help you!



04/07/2014 Micron Technology MU FORECAST Last Price: $22.58

Micron Technology MU 07/04/2014 Last FORECAST Price: $ 22.58
Hi  Everybody, Another Monday and the battle begins again !
Today I will look at Micron Technology. As you know, this company manufactures computer components (DRAM , NOR Flash , NAND flash) and it is a provider of advanced semiconductor solutions.
During the last session the stock wnt back a -5.92 % , and was the third most traded stock on the market.
The company recently announced the results for its second quarter of fiscal 2014 , with better results compared to the second quarter of 2013 .
Analyst Consensus gives a target price of $ 28.45
The action is rolling with low P / E:   8.30  and EPS =: 2.72. No dividend in this stock.
When you look at the financial data we can see a diluted EPS of 1.13 in 2013 compared to the average of the last 4 years 0.52 ( In 2012 , the company reported a -1.04 EPS ) .
The sales growth was 10.19% against 3 years avg 2.5 % ( In 2012 , the company reported -6.30 %).
Let's see the chart  and the technical  :
The price is in the bottom of an uptrend channel .
The AVG200 = 19.56 and is relatively far from the actual price.
The MACD is negative with negative slop .
RSI gives us a reading of 41 % and crossed the 50% line , on April 3 .
The stochastic is down from 75 % and DMI shows more negative movements.
Support and Resistance:
S1: $ 22.10   S2: $ 18.67     R1: $ 24.53     R2: $ 26.68
The  purchase range( price range to buy the stock ) is [ $ 21.31 ; $ 22.04 ] , at this prices our targets will be:
TG1 : $ 23.97
Tg2 : $ 25.17
Tgext : $ 27.10
Nothing more ! , I hope this analysis has been useful to you.

Here is the chart !


sábado, 5 de abril de 2014

WEEKLY FORECAST SELECTION SECURITIES FROM 14-28 April.

WEEKLY FORECAST SELECTION SECURITIES FROM 14-28 April.
Hi again, I was looking for stocks that in my own opinion ( I must insist on  that, it´s my own impression, the responsability to take positions is always yours, I can fail!) will move the next week. So here we go:





I have  made a preliminar analysis  of this stocks and it´s probably this stocks will move in those directions for the next week. I have to say 
I want to publish a detailed analysis of this securities or other.
I must say that this is short-term predictions (4 o 5 days). I recommend you to do an analysis before taking positions if you work in the medium short term.

Nothing else, I hope you enjoy the weekend.